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Win or Lose, Trump Has Turned the Tide of the Culture WarsWhen Donald Trump won his surprise victory in the 2016 presidential election, he brought with him what political scientists call a "thermostatic backlash" in the culture, a phenomenon in which public opinion shifts in the opposite direction following significant policy changes or other seismic political events. Before the pandemic accelerated things, Trump's first term in office was defined by cultural backlashes like the #MeToo and Black Lives Matter movements, and a...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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When It’s Time To Start Pointing FingersFrom the Center We won’t know the outcome of this year’s presidential election until tomorrow night at the earliest, and possibly not for days or weeks to come. But it’s never too early to start laying blame for a losing campaign, so this seems like a good time to start blaming those responsible for both Kamala Harris’ and Donald Trump’s defeats. If Harris comes up short, most of the blame will go to Joe Biden. Had the president decided not to seek re-election in late 2023 or even...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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Pentagon, IDF Prepare for Iranian 'Crushing Response' to Israeli Strike on Weapons FacilitiesThe Islamic Republic of Iran is sending defiant messages to Israel. Arab diplomats indicate Iran is planning a "complex response" to the Jewish state, including an attack with more weapons and warheads that haven't yet been deployed. Washington and Jerusalem are actively preparing for this potential Iranian counterattack. Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei ramped up his threats against Israel and the United States on Saturday. "The enemies – be it the Zionist regime or the...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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The Media Could Easily Win This ElectionThe press is on the ballot. The presidential race is essentially tied, so if there’s a small polling error here or there, the media could easily still emerge victorious. The press has been such an active participant in the Trump–Harris race that it will be a significant defeat for it if Trump prevails and a marked victory if he comes up short. “It’s The Sun Wot Won It” was the famous headline in the U.K. newspaper The Sun after its hostile coverage helped take down Neil...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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Is There a Future for MAGA After Trump?The tailgate was aimed at boosting a protégé, but it was Donald Trump whose name and image were plastered everywhere — on the banner hung from Republicans’ table outside the Arizona State University football game, on baseball caps, on signs they carried and stickers they fixed to tank-tops on a Friday night where the pavement was still hot and the temperature, at dusk, hovered around 95 degrees. They might have turned out to support the protégé, Kari Lake, but it was his movement...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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GOP primed to back Trump if he contests electionThe Republican Party is now more primed to back former President Trump if he contests the results of the 2024 election than it was four years ago, when his efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s victory fell flat in courts and Congress. Trump’s unwavering claims about the nation’s election system being “rigged” have steadily gained more acceptance among rank-and-file Republicans voters over the past four years and his biggest Republican critics in Congress have either retired or...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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So, Can We Trust the Polls?Recent changes add up to a case for cautious optimism on better accuracy, but that’s far from a guarantee. The polls underestimated Donald J. Trump in 2016. They underestimated him again in 2020. So can we trust the polls this time? I’m asked this question a lot, and if I only get one quick reply, my answer is simple: no. No, you can’t trust the polls — at least if you mean by “trust” what I think you do. You can’t safely assume that the candidate leading in the polls is going to...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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Lady Gaga, Katy Perry, Oprah Winfrey Set for Kamala Harris’ Election Eve Pennsylvania RalliesLady Gaga, Katy Perry, the Roots, Jazmine Sullivan and more will take part in Kamala Harris Election Eve rallies in Pennsylvania, the Harris-Walz campaign announced Sunday. Oprah Winfrey will also make an appearance at the Philadelphia rally on Monday, which will also include performances or remarks by artists like Gaga, Sullivan, the Roots, Fat Joe, Freeway and Just Blaze, DJ Jazzy Jeff, Adam Blackstone, and DJ Cassidy. Perry will headline...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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Harris vs. Trump on Climate ChangeVice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have starkly different track records on climate change. During his presidency, Trump loosened limits on greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, vehicles and other sources, weakened energy efficiency standards, and left the Paris Agreement, a major 2015 international accord to limit global warming. Under President Joe Biden, the U.S. rejoined the Paris Agreement and set...0 Комментарии 0 Поделились
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